Usuallywhen the U.S. economy is in the doldrums, the incumbent president is in serious difficulty.  With unemployment at 9.1%,  the economy is in trouble. Does that mean Obama is in trouble politically?  Not according to a series of polls just out today.

The stunning fact is Obama has almost a double-digit lead over most of his Republican rivals.  Consider front-runner Mitt Romney.  Obama clobbers him by 13 percentage points – 51 percent to 38 percent.  At the same time Obama is amassing a campaign war-chest likely to be larger than the record $750 million he raised in 2008.

In the Reuter’s Ipsos, the other GOP  contenders fared even worse than Romney’s 13-point gap in a matchup with Obama. Palin trailed Obama by 23 points and Tim Palwlenty was behind by 19 points.

At this point  let me make a prediction.  Romney will not win the GOP nomination and neither will Pawlenty.  That leaves a group of political midgets and GOP has-beens to take on the president  who, by and large, is extremely well liked.

Why is Obama winning?

What do you think?


  1. 1
    jim Says:

    O’bama is winning because the wise know that the economic problems were caused by the Republicans and that O’bama is doing a good job in spite of his disasterous inheritance. Neil I hope that the President’s PR people do not use the 13 point difference as a promo, but rephrase it by saying that the President’s lead is 40% higher than Romney’s. Now we’re cooking !!!

  2. 2
    Neil McKenty Says:

    What is remarkable is thatObama is winning despite the economy. No American president (except Roosevelt in 1936) has won fre-elecion when the employment rate has been 7.2 per cent or higher.

  3. 3
    littlepatti Says:

    He’s winning because he tells the truth. He said that employment would be the very last thing to recover in the recession. That makes sense. He’s done a good job despite some terrible pit falls- The recession, the world wide financial crisis, the oil spill, numerous weather-related disasters and fires. Military commitments.
    I think he’s going to win another term, and deserves it.

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