HAS ROMNEY WRAPPED IT UP?

In a squeeker at the Iowa caucuses, Mitt Romney eked out a win by eight votes in 120,000 cast.

Where does this leave the former Massachussetts governor?  In the cat’s bird seat for now.  His two closest rivals -  Paul and Santorum – have no chance of winning the nomination.  His more dangerous rivals – Gingrich and Perry – are both fatally flawed.  Gingrich has brains but no money and little organization.  Governor Perry has money and organization but no brains.

That leaves a relatively open road to the nomination for Romney.  He may not nail it down till he gets to the convention in Tampa but Romney has it in the bag.

That does not mean he will win the general election in November.  Far from it.  In the Iowa caucuses one key figure is often over-looked.  Seventy-five per cent of the Republican participants did not vote for Romney.  Imagine that.  Romney can only get one Republican in four to support him.  In other words, the Tea Party and the far right would sooner lose the election with a true blue conservative rather than a moderate like Romney whom they despise.

So Romney wins the nomination and Obama wins the election.

Has Romney wrapped up the nomination?

What do you think?

13 Comments »

  1. 1

    I don’t know if Romney has “wrapped” up the nomination. With 75% disapproval, it seems that anything could come out of left field and change the game.

    I don’t like any of the candidates, but Mitt Romney may be Presidential material.
    E G A D S !!
    I actually hope that Obama gets another kick at the can. He seems to be honest and working towards better outcomes. His biggest mistakes: inexperience and trying to juggle all the factions without a Congress in support.
    What President has ever been able to do that?

  2. 2
    Tony Kondaks Says:

    Neil writes:

    “The Tea Party and the far right would sooner lose the election with a true blue conservative rather than a moderate like Romney whom they despise.”
    I think there’s a lot of truth to that. I’ve heard it speculated that so many millions of conservatives stayed home on election when McCain was the candidate that this is what tipped the scales in Obama’s favour.

  3. 3
    Tony Kondaks Says:

    Littlepatti writes:

    “His biggest mistakes: inexperience and trying to juggle all the factions without a Congress in support. What President has ever been able to do that?”

    Uh, Bill Clinton for one. A Congress with the other party in control is the rule rather than the exception. They all learn to work with each other and get things done, some famously (think Ronald Reagan and Tipp O’Neill).

    Chris Matthews says it’s because Obama never reaches out to Congress, as he’s supposed to do. Even Matthews, the biggest Obama supporter, has turned on Obama:

  4. 4

    That’s true Tony, but maybe there was a different “breed” of Politician back then…
    I remember Bill Clinton couldn’t get a health plan passed, and then he tumbled into a huge scandal. I liked Ronald Regan-he schmoozed really well.

    In the recent hard times, it’s interesting that it’s “every man for himself”, instead of people pulling together for the greater good. I think that the Republicans have been real bastards.
    Obama is a genius compared to GWB. :-)

  5. 5
    Tony Kondaks Says:

    Littlepatti writes:

    “I think that the Republicans have been real bastards.”

    Why?

    “Obama is a genius compared to GWB.”

    Except for healthcare (which may be ruled unconstitutional anyway) and embyo research, how is Obama’s term any different than Bush’s? Same tax policies, same deficit-spending policy (actually twice as worse under Obama), same Guantanamo policy, same “we love Wall Street” policy, same “kill our enemies” policy (Bin Lauden’s assassination), etc. If you liked George Bush, you should ADORE Obama.

  6. 6
    Neil McKenty Says:

    The main difference between Barack Obama and George Bush is that the former had an over-all perspective, the latter not so much.

  7. 7
    Tony Kondaks Says:

    Neil writes:

    “The main difference between Barack Obama and George Bush is that the former had an over-all perspective, the latter not so much.”

    Wow. I must say I’m surprised to read what you wrote, Neil.

    “Perspective”? That’s it? That’s the “main difference”?

    You are obviously conceding thar Obama is– at least as regards policy– virtually no different from Bush. Gosh, you’ve gone even further than me; at least I acknowledged Obamacare and stem cell research as distinguishing points.

    You were SO gung-ho on Obama. And now this. You must be greatly disappointed.

  8. 8

    I didn’t say I liked GWB- Being a President was far above his capabilities. He took the USA to war in Iraq/ which thank goodness our own “dumb-bunny”, did not get us into.
    Trillions of dollars which could have been spent on recovery of the economy, has been spent on war, in countries we don’t belong in and will never win in.
    I am not a bleeding heart. I’m in favour of stem cell research, health care, pro-choice, Guantanamo Bay, eliminating enemies by any & all means, & tax & spend until the world-wide financial fiasco ends.

    I am disappointed in Obama. (he talks too much) and I had an unreal expectation under the circumstances that he inherited. What a witches brew!
    I am equally disappointed in the lot of them and the Republicans who have stepped forward with promises to do better. Hah! What a sorry bunch they are.
    However, I want him to get another kick at the can and then history can decide.

  9. 9
    Neil McKenty Says:

    Not so disappointed that I don’t think he will be relected for a second term.

  10. 10
    Jim Says:

    I’m afraid that Obama will not win this election, but the GOP will lose it.
    On the other hand, if Santorum can get enough air time, the voters will see that he is the best candidate to support. The USers have always fought for lost causes Once they find out that he is riding around in a jalopy due to lack of funds, he will get the push. He should
    have his troops rally around the pennant that reads:-
    “You don’t have to have money to be elected president of this Great Nation. God bless the United States of America”
    Oh well, I tried!!!

  11. 11

    John McCain made a terrible gaff at a rally this week. Romney doesn’t have a ghost of a chance with guys like that supporting him! Yeah!

  12. 12
    Jim Says:

    Gimme a quaff, I loved that gaff.
    Is it possible that McCain made a Freudian slip?

  13. 13

    jim wrote: “if Santorum can get enough air time, the voters will see that he is the best candidate to support.”

    Excuse me? Santorum is a crazy, anti-science, God-soaked maniac!

    Some evidence for this position:

    http://freethoughtblogs.com/dispatches/2012/01/06/santorum-still-wants-to-outlaw-contraception/

    http://freethoughtblogs.com/dispatches/2011/12/14/santorum-gets-it-exactly-backwards/

    If Santorum got his way he’d install a version of the American Taliban in Washington… thankfully he’s as likely to be elected as Rick Perry or Michelle Bachmann. What a nut!

    One last Santorum video if you can stomach it:

    http://freethoughtblogs.com/pharyngula/2012/01/04/santorum-will-tell-you-how-and-when-you-can-have-sex/


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