Usuallywhen the U.S. economy is in the doldrums, the incumbent president is in serious difficulty. With unemployment at 9.1%, the economy is in trouble. Does that mean Obama is in trouble politically? Not according to a series of polls just out today.
The stunning fact is Obama has almost a double-digit lead over most of his Republican rivals. Consider front-runner Mitt Romney. Obama clobbers him by 13 percentage points – 51 percent to 38 percent. At the same time Obama is amassing a campaign war-chest likely to be larger than the record $750 million he raised in 2008.
In the Reuter’s Ipsos, the other GOP contenders fared even worse than Romney’s 13-point gap in a matchup with Obama. Palin trailed Obama by 23 points and Tim Palwlenty was behind by 19 points.
At this point let me make a prediction. Romney will not win the GOP nomination and neither will Pawlenty. That leaves a group of political midgets and GOP has-beens to take on the president who, by and large, is extremely well liked.
Why is Obama winning?
What do you think?
O’bama is winning because the wise know that the economic problems were caused by the Republicans and that O’bama is doing a good job in spite of his disasterous inheritance. Neil I hope that the President’s PR people do not use the 13 point difference as a promo, but rephrase it by saying that the President’s lead is 40% higher than Romney’s. Now we’re cooking !!!
What is remarkable is thatObama is winning despite the economy. No American president (except Roosevelt in 1936) has won fre-elecion when the employment rate has been 7.2 per cent or higher.
He’s winning because he tells the truth. He said that employment would be the very last thing to recover in the recession. That makes sense. He’s done a good job despite some terrible pit falls- The recession, the world wide financial crisis, the oil spill, numerous weather-related disasters and fires. Military commitments.
I think he’s going to win another term, and deserves it.